Prediction of Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Andre Lukosiute at W15 Sharm ElSheikh 11-30-25

• Second serve performance suggests a marginal edge for Daria Khomutsianskaya with 37.88% points won compared to Andre Lukosiute's 37.76%. Could this slight advantage influence the match outcome?
• In returning games, Daria Khomutsianskaya shows stronger recent form on second serves, winning 52.42% of points, while Andre Lukosiute trails slightly with 51.62%.
• However, when it comes to returning first serves, Andre Lukosiute takes the lead, winning 34.44% compared to Daria Khomutsianskaya's 31.09%.
• Under pressure, Andre Lukosiute has been slightly better at saving breakpoints, succeeding 47.14% of the time as opposed to Daria Khomutsianskaya’s 46.65%.
• Overall match-winning rate over the last year favors Daria Khomutsianskaya with an 80.30% success rate against Andre Lukosiute’s 76.09%.
• Both players excel on Clay, each boasting a 79% win rate. However, Andre Lukosiute struggles on Grass while Daria Khomutsianskaya has her weakest performance on Indoor hard courts.
• In their respective circuits, both players have performed similarly, with Lukosiute winning slightly more often in similar tournaments.
• A critical distinction is found in opponent quality; Daria Khomutsianskaya has faced tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 121.11 compared to Andre Lukosiute's 324.15.
• Deciding set statistics may provide insight into stamina and determination, with Daria Khomutsianskaya winning 79% compared to Lukosiute’s 64%.
• Assessing current event performance could give hints about form, but neither has specific stats mentioned here that provide a definitive edge.

Editorial Prediction (November 29, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the critical statistics, Daria Khomutsianskaya appears to have a slight edge in second serve performance, which can be a crucial factor in match outcomes. Additionally, her superior ability to capture points in second serve return games gives her a distinct advantage.

While Andre Lukosiute shows strength in first serve returns and breakpoint saves, her lesser performance in deciding sets might question her resilience in tightly contested matches.

Considering both players' historical success rates on clay and recent match outcomes, Daria Khomutsianskaya's encounters with higher-ranked opponents suggest greater experience under challenging conditions.

Therefore, based on these metrics and gameplay elements, Daria Khomutsianskaya emerges as the favored player to clinch victory in this upcoming tennis match.